StatSheet Projects Michigan State as NCAA Tournament Two Seed: 02/21/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 21st, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting Michigan State as a two seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans are currently on track for an automatic bid, but don't need it to retain the invite as they're the #6 team in the AP Poll and sit at #4 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 22-5 overall record and an 11-3 record in the Big Ten.

During its last four games, Michigan State picked up quality wins against AP #16 Wisconsin and AP #8 Ohio State and wins against Purdue and Penn State.

Michigan State is decent against top competition, with a 10-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 7-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 7-3 record against AP ranked teams. The Spartans boast seven quality wins including AP #16 Wisconsin (2 wins), AP #8 Ohio State, AP #11 Michigan, AP #23 Indiana, and RPI #21 Gonzaga with no bad losses at all.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Texas (17-11, 7-8 Big 12, StatRank #59), Washington (19-8, 12-3 Pac 12, StatRank #56), NC State (18-9, 7-5 ACC, StatRank #58), and Mississippi State (19-8, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #57).

The first four teams out are Illinois (16-11, 5-9 Big Ten, StatRank #73), LSU (16-10, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #70), Ole Miss (15-11, 5-7 SEC, StatRank #80), and St. Joseph's (PA) (18-10, 8-5 A-10, StatRank #46).

The next four out are Arizona (19-9, 10-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Brigham Young (23-6, 11-3 West Coast, StatRank #50), Colorado (18-8, 10-4 Pac 12, StatRank #73), and Minnesota (17-10, 5-9 Big Ten, StatRank #72).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Michigan State
#3Baylor
#4Florida
#5Connecticut
#6California
#7Gonzaga
#8Murray State
#9Alabama
#10Colorado State
#11Kansas State
#12Harvard
#13Long Beach State
#14Akron
#15Belmont
#16Bucknell
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Kansas
#2Missouri
#3Georgetown
#4Florida State
#5Indiana
#6UNLV
#7New Mexico
#8Saint Louis
#9Memphis
#10Creighton
#11Oregon
#12Mississippi State
#13MTSU
#14Iona
#15Davidson
#16Long Island
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Kentucky
#2North Carolina
#3Marquette
#4Louisville
#5Notre Dame
#6Vanderbilt
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Northwestern
#10Iowa State
#11Purdue
#12NC State
#13Saint Mary's
#14Nevada
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17Savannah State
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2Ohio State
#3Michigan
#4Southern Miss
#5Wisconsin
#6Virginia
#7Wichita State
#8West Virginia
#9San Diego State
#10Miami (FL)
#11South Florida
#12Washington
#13Texas
#14Oral Roberts
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Vermont

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
Pac 123 1225.0%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Ohio State 31-8 13-5
 1Michigan State 29-8 13-5
1 Michigan 24-10 13-5
4 Wisconsin 26-10 12-6
5 Indiana 27-9 11-7
6 Purdue 22-13 10-8
7 Northwestern 19-14 8-10
7 Iowa 18-17 8-10
9 Minnesota 23-15 6-12
9 Illinois 17-15 6-12
11 Nebraska 12-18 4-14
11 Penn State 12-20 4-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#11 Keith Appling So G 6-1 180
#0 Russell Byrd Fr G 6-7 205
#14 Dan Chapman So G 6-3 185
#22 Branden Dawson Fr G 6-6 216
#2 Alex Gauna Fr F 6-9 240
#23 Draymond Green Sr F 6-7 230
#44 Anthony Ianni Sr C 6-9 260
#3 Brandan Kearney Fr G 6-5 185
#25 Derrick Nix Jr C 6-9 270
#5 Adreian Payne So C 6-10 240
#34 Joe Sweeny Sr G 6-0 175
#13 Austin Thornton Sr G 6-5 210
#20 Travis Trice Fr G 6-0 165
#15 Keenan Wetzel Fr G 6-4 190
#40 Colby Wollenman Fr F 6-6 220
#30 Brandon Wood Sr G 6-2 190