StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Michigan State as a two seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans are currently on track for an automatic bid, but don't need it to retain the invite as they're the #6 team in the AP Poll and sit at #4 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 22-5 overall record and an 11-3 record in the Big Ten.
During its last four games, Michigan State picked up quality wins against AP #16 Wisconsin and AP #8 Ohio State and wins against Purdue and Penn State.
Michigan State is decent against top competition, with a 10-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 7-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 7-3 record against AP ranked teams. The Spartans boast seven quality wins including AP #16 Wisconsin (2 wins), AP #8 Ohio State, AP #11 Michigan, AP #23 Indiana, and RPI #21 Gonzaga with no bad losses at all.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Texas (17-11, 7-8 Big 12, StatRank #59), Washington (19-8, 12-3 Pac 12, StatRank #56), NC State (18-9, 7-5 ACC, StatRank #58), and Mississippi State (19-8, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #57).
The first four teams out are Illinois (16-11, 5-9 Big Ten, StatRank #73), LSU (16-10, 6-6 SEC, StatRank #70), Ole Miss (15-11, 5-7 SEC, StatRank #80), and St. Joseph's (PA) (18-10, 8-5 A-10, StatRank #46).
The next four out are Arizona (19-9, 10-5 Pac 12, StatRank #70), Brigham Young (23-6, 11-3 West Coast, StatRank #50), Colorado (18-8, 10-4 Pac 12, StatRank #73), and Minnesota (17-10, 5-9 Big Ten, StatRank #72).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference