StatSheet Projects Michigan State as NCAA Tournament Three Seed: 02/05/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 5th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Michigan State as a three seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans are the #12 team in the AP Poll and sit at #13 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-4 overall record and a 7-2 record in the Big Ten.

During its last four games, Michigan State cruised with quality wins against RPI #40 Illinois, RPI #41 Wisconsin, and AP #10 Ohio State but also dropped one against AP #1 Indiana.

Michigan State is lukewarm against top competition, with a 7-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 4-4 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 2-3 record against AP ranked teams. The Spartans boast four quality wins including RPI #40 Illinois, RPI #41 Wisconsin, AP #10 Ohio State, and AP #5 Kansas with no bad losses at all.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Memphis (18-3, 7-0 C-USA, StatRank #42), Rutgers (12-8, 3-6 Big East, StatRank #57), Brigham Young (18-6, 8-2 West Coast, StatRank #37), and Arizona State (17-5, 6-3 Pac 12, StatRank #64).

The first four teams out are Alabama (14-7, 6-2 SEC, StatRank #65), California (13-8, 5-4 Pac 12, StatRank #68), Maryland (16-6, 4-5 ACC, StatRank #71), and Stanford (14-8, 5-4 Pac 12, StatRank #72).

The next four out are Florida State (12-9, 4-4 ACC, StatRank #62), Charlotte (17-4, 5-2 A-10, StatRank #53), Saint Louis (16-5, 5-2 A-10, StatRank #56), and Villanova (13-9, 4-5 Big East, StatRank #74).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Butler
#5Cincinnati
#6Marquette
#7Colorado State
#8Colorado
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Baylor
#12Arizona State
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5Georgetown
#6Notre Dame
#7Creighton
#8Ole Miss
#9Illinois
#10La Salle
#11MTSU
#12Brigham Young
#13Louisiana Tech
#14SDSU
#15Harvard
#16Long Beach State
#17SOU
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Minnesota
#5Missouri
#6Oklahoma State
#7NC State
#8UNLV
#9Iowa State
#10UCLA
#11St. John's
#12Rutgers
#13Memphis
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Bryant
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Oregon
#5New Mexico
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oklahoma
#8North Carolina
#9Wisconsin
#10Wichita State
#11San Diego State
#12Southern Miss
#13VCU
#14Stony Brook
#15Valparaiso
#16Northeastern
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
Pac 125 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
ACC4 1233.3%
SEC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
CAA1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: MSU should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Michigan 28-9 15-3
2 Wisconsin 30-8 12-6
 2Michigan State 29-9 12-6
4 Nebraska 19-13 11-7
5 Ohio State 25-10 10-8
6 Iowa 20-13 9-9
7 Minnesota 25-13 8-10
8 Illinois 20-15 7-11
8 Indiana 17-15 7-11
10 Penn State 16-18 6-12
10 Northwestern 14-19 6-12
12 Purdue 15-17 5-13
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#11 Keith Appling Sr G 6-1 185
#13 Trevor Bohnhoff So F 6-7 215
#0 Russell Byrd Jr G 6-7 205
#40 Dan Chapman Sr G 6-3 190
#10 Matt Costello So F 6-9 240
#22 Branden Dawson Jr G/F 6-6 225
#3 Alvin Ellis III Fr F 6-4 195
#2 Alex Gauna Jr F 6-9 250
#14 Gary Harris So G 6-4 210
#30 Kenny Kaminski Fr F 6-8 225
#5 Adreian Payne Sr C 6-10 245
#34 Gavin Schilling Fr F 6-9 240
#20 Travis Trice Jr G 6-0 170
#45 D. Valentine So G 6-5 225
#15 Keenan Wetzel Jr G 6-4 210
#41 Colby Wollenman So F 6-7 225