StatSheet Projects Michigan State as NCAA Tournament Two Seed: 03/08/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 8th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Michigan State to make the NCAA Tournament as a two seed. The Spartans are currently on track for an automatic bid, but don't need it to retain the invite as they're the #8 team in the AP Poll and sit at #6 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 24-7 overall record and a 13-5 record in the Big Ten.

During the last four games, Michigan State picked up wins against Nebraska and Minnesota but also took on losses against AP #7 Ohio State and AP #15 Indiana.

Michigan State is respectable against top competition, with an 11-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 9-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 6-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Spartans boast nine quality wins including RPI #40 Purdue (2 wins), AP #14 Wisconsin (2 wins), AP #7 Ohio State, AP #10 Michigan, and AP #15 Indiana with no bad losses to speak of.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (20-12, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #54), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #58).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #69), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #76), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #85).

The next four out are Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #77), Iona (25-7, 15-3 MAAC, StatRank #47), LSU (17-13, 7-9 SEC, StatRank #83), and St. Joseph's (PA) (20-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #52).

Regional 1
#1Kansas
#2Duke
#3Baylor
#4Florida State
#5Florida
#6Memphis
#7Colorado State
#8Alabama
#9California
#10Purdue
#11Miami (FL)
#12Long Beach State
#13Harvard
#14Akron
#15Davidson
#16Detroit
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Kentucky
#2Michigan State
#3Georgetown
#4Indiana
#5Iowa State
#6Notre Dame
#7UNLV
#8Connecticut
#9Kansas State
#10Saint Louis
#11Ole Miss
#12NC State
#13Seton Hall
#14Belmont
#15Long Island
#16Lehigh
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1North Carolina
#2Missouri
#3Marquette
#4Louisville
#5Murray State
#6Vanderbilt
#7San Diego State
#8Creighton
#9Northwestern
#10Saint Mary's
#11New Mexico
#12Oregon
#13VCU
#14Nevada
#15Loyola (MD)
#16UNCA
#17Stony Brook
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2Ohio State
#3Michigan
#4Wisconsin
#5Southern Miss
#6Wichita State
#7Temple
#8Gonzaga
#9South Florida
#10Virginia
#11West Virginia
#12Texas
#13Washington
#14SDSU
#15Montana
#16Texas-Arlington
#17Western Kentucky

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
Pac 123 1225.0%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Patriot1 812.5%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Ohio State 31-8 13-5
 1Michigan State 29-8 13-5
1 Michigan 24-10 13-5
4 Wisconsin 26-10 12-6
5 Indiana 27-9 11-7
6 Purdue 22-13 10-8
7 Northwestern 19-14 8-10
7 Iowa 18-17 8-10
9 Minnesota 23-15 6-12
9 Illinois 17-15 6-12
11 Nebraska 12-18 4-14
11 Penn State 12-20 4-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#11 Keith Appling So G 6-1 180
#0 Russell Byrd Fr G 6-7 205
#14 Dan Chapman So G 6-3 185
#22 Branden Dawson Fr G 6-6 216
#2 Alex Gauna Fr F 6-9 240
#23 Draymond Green Sr F 6-7 230
#44 Anthony Ianni Sr C 6-9 260
#3 Brandan Kearney Fr G 6-5 185
#25 Derrick Nix Jr C 6-9 270
#5 Adreian Payne So C 6-10 240
#34 Joe Sweeny Sr G 6-0 175
#13 Austin Thornton Sr G 6-5 210
#20 Travis Trice Fr G 6-0 165
#15 Keenan Wetzel Fr G 6-4 190
#40 Colby Wollenman Fr F 6-6 220
#30 Brandon Wood Sr G 6-2 190