StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects Michigan State to make the NCAA Tournament as a two seed. The Spartans are currently on track for an automatic bid, but don't need it to retain the invite as they're the #8 team in the AP Poll and sit at #6 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 24-7 overall record and a 13-5 record in the Big Ten.
During the last four games, Michigan State picked up wins against Nebraska and Minnesota but also took on losses against AP #7 Ohio State and AP #15 Indiana.
Michigan State is respectable against top competition, with an 11-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 9-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 6-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Spartans boast nine quality wins including RPI #40 Purdue (2 wins), AP #14 Wisconsin (2 wins), AP #7 Ohio State, AP #10 Michigan, and AP #15 Indiana with no bad losses to speak of.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (20-12, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #54), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #58).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #69), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #76), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #85).
The next four out are Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #77), Iona (25-7, 15-3 MAAC, StatRank #47), LSU (17-13, 7-9 SEC, StatRank #83), and St. Joseph's (PA) (20-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #52).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference